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Formation Chances Increasing For Tropical System Over Eastern Tropical Atlantic

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located near the Southeast Bahamas.

  1. Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing limited disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
    the week. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at
    about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the
    vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
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