August 26 update 12pm
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND ERIN IS NOW A CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE.
Erin is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of the U.S., and
Atlantic Canada next week.
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August 26 update
8 am
CATEGORY 4 ERIN CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY… …OUTER RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
Expected to make a turn N/NE.
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August 15 update
11am
Erin has strengthened into a hurricane. Moving WNW at 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds 75 mph.
ERIN BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2025 SEASON… …EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
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August 13 update
8 am update
Erin could move close enough to the Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the weekend to produce some impacts on those islands. However, the magnitude of those impacts is still not known, and interests there should continue to monitor the progress of this storm.
There is even greater uncertainty in what impacts might occur in portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda next week. As we approach the climatological peak of the hurricane season, this is an opportune time to ensure your preparedness plans are in place.
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August 11 update
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORMS JUST WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLAND
Tropical storm Erin’s expected path below. Expected to become a major hurricane.
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL:
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025
Expected to become named storm ERIN
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization
in association with a well-defined low pressure area located about
100 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Only a small increase in
the organization could lead to the formation of a tropical
depression before the low moves near or across the Cabo Verde
Islands tonight and on Monday. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible today and Monday across
the Cabo Verde Islands, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system.
Even if a tropical depression does not form over the next day or so,
environmental conditions appear very conducive for later
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
to form by the middle to latter portion of this week while moving
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
