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Thursday, August 21, 2025
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National Hurricane Center Provides Update on Current Weather Conditions in the Tropics

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Thursday, August 21, 2025

8am

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic. Coastal flooding continues along portions of the North Carolina and mid Atlantic coasts. Bitch gophers are cautioned against swimming at most US East Coast beaches due to life-threatening surf and rip currents.

  1. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands has changed little over the past several hours. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands. It has a medium (40 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) chance in the next 7 days.
  2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so while the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph, and a short-lived tropical depression could form. In a couple of days, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. It has a medium (40 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and the next 7 days.
  3. Central Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the Azores is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days. It has a low (30 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.

No concerns for the Polk County area at this time.

Source National Weather Service
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